KalBot/lib/strategies/martingale.js

import { BaseStrategy } from './base.js';

export class MartingaleStrategy extends BaseStrategy {
  constructor(config = {}) {
    super('martingale', {
      threshold: config.threshold || 70,    
      baseBet: config.baseBet || 1,         
      maxDoublings: config.maxDoublings || 5, 
      cooldownMs: config.cooldownMs || 60000, 
      ...config
    });

    this.consecutiveLosses = 0;
    this.currentBetSize = this.config.baseBet;
    this.lastTradeTime = 0;
    this.lastTradeTicker = null;
  }

  evaluate(state) {
    if (!state || !this.enabled) return null;

    const now = Date.now();

    if (now - this.lastTradeTime < this.config.cooldownMs) return null;
    if (state.ticker === this.lastTradeTicker) return null;
    if (this.consecutiveLosses >= this.config.maxDoublings) return null; 

    const { yesPct, noPct } = state;
    const threshold = this.config.threshold;

    let signal = null;

    // Prevent buying useless contracts at >= 99¢ (which would result in $0 or 0.01¢ profit)
    if (yesPct >= threshold && noPct < 99) {
      signal = {
        strategy: this.name,
        side: 'no',
        price: noPct,
        size: this.currentBetSize,
        reason: `Yes at ${yesPct}% (≥${threshold}%), betting No at ${noPct}¢`,
        ticker: state.ticker
      };
    }
    else if (noPct >= threshold && yesPct < 99) {
      signal = {
        strategy: this.name,
        side: 'yes',
        price: yesPct,
        size: this.currentBetSize,
        reason: `No at ${noPct}% (≥${threshold}%), betting Yes at ${yesPct}¢`,
        ticker: state.ticker
      };
    }

    if (signal) {
      this.lastTradeTime = now;
      this.lastTradeTicker = state.ticker;
    }

    return signal;
  }

  onSettlement(result, trade) {
    if (!trade || trade.strategy !== this.name) return;

    const won = (trade.side === 'yes' && result === 'yes') ||
                (trade.side === 'no' && result === 'no');

    if (won) {
      console.log(`[Martingale] WIN — resetting to base bet $${this.config.baseBet}`);
      this.consecutiveLosses = 0;
      this.currentBetSize = this.config.baseBet;
    } else {
      this.consecutiveLosses++;
      this.currentBetSize = this.config.baseBet * Math.pow(2, this.consecutiveLosses);
      console.log(`[Martingale] LOSS #${this.consecutiveLosses} — next bet: $${this.currentBetSize}`);

      if (this.consecutiveLosses >= this.config.maxDoublings) {
        console.log(`[Martingale] MAX LOSSES REACHED. Strategy paused.`);
      }
    }
  }

  toJSON() {
    return {
      ...super.toJSON(),
      consecutiveLosses: this.consecutiveLosses,
      currentBetSize: this.currentBetSize,
      paused: this.consecutiveLosses >= this.config.maxDoublings
    };
  }
}